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Technical Analysis: HUFJPY Testing Its 38.2% Fibo Resistance

HUNGARY
  • USDHUF has been retracing higher in the past few days after finding a local low of 297 on April 30 and is currently testing its psychological 300 resistance; a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 304 (50D SMA).; On the downside, first support to watch remains at 295.
  • GBPHUF has been retracing higher this week after failing to break below its 100D SMA on Friday; resistances to watch on the topside stand at 421 (50D SMA), followed by 427.50. On the downside, key support to watch remains at 413 (100D SMA).
  • CZKHUF has been retracing higher in the past two days and currently trades slightly below the 14 level; key level to watch on the topside stands at 14.15, which was reached on March 22 and also represents the pair's all-time high. On the downside, first support to watch stands at 13.86 (100D SMA), followed by 13.70 (the low of the LT upward trending channel).
  • PLNHUF has been retracing higher this week after finding a local low of 78.66 on Friday; resistances to watch on the topside stand at 79.32, followed by 79.45. On the downside, levels to watch below 78.66 stand at 78.48, followed by 78.
  • HUFJPY has been testing its ST resistance at 36.65 (LT downward trending resistance line) in the last week; a break above that level would open the door for a move up to 37 (Jan 2020 highs). On the downside, first support to watch stands at 36.23, followed by the psychological 36 level. (Scale*100).
    The LT chart below on HUFJPY also shows that 36.65 represents an important LT resistance, the 38.2% Fibo retracement of the 2018-2021 high low range (liquidity reached a peak in early 2018 in EM market before starting to contract amid rising uncertainty and preference for the USD).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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