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Technical Recap After USD/CNH Clears Key Resistance Levels

CNH

USD/CNH has started the week on a firm note, trading as high as CNH6.8754 on Monday as the broader USD rallied. Worries surrounding the Chinese economy have generated a favourable yield differential environment (vs. CNH) in recent weeks, facilitating a bid in the cross.

  • A reminder that our technical analyst noted the following on Monday:
  • Friday’s gains saw USD/CNH pierce key resistance at CNH6.8380, the May 13 high. Monday’s move then confirmed a clear break of this resistance.
  • The move higher confirms a resumption of the uptrend that started late February 2022.
  • This suggests potential for an extension near-term and note that the pair has pierced an important retracement level at CNH6.8563 - 61.8% of the 2020-2022 bear cycle.
  • Moving average studies remain in a bull mode, highlighting the current market sentiment.
  • The focus is on the CNH6.9000 level next.
  • The 20-day EMA at 6.7814 marks initial support.
  • The key short-term trend support has been defined at 6.7164, the Aug 10 low.
Fig. 1: USD/CNH

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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