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TECHS: Price Signal Summary - Oil Corrective Cycle Underway

MARKET INSIGHT
  • In the equity space, E-mini S&P selling pressure is surfacing ahead of the important psychological 4000.00 handle. Support to watch today is at 3887.93, the 20-day EMA.
  • In the FX space:
    • EURUSD is edging lower again today. Resistance at 1.1990, Mar 11 high remains intact. This level represents the trigger for a stronger S/T recovery. Note, Wednesday's price action is a bullish engulfing candle and remains valid. It highlights the potential for stronger gains. However, a break of 1.1990 is needed to confirm this and would open 1.2067, Mar 4 high. Support is at 1.1883, Mar 16 low. A break would instead negate the pattern and expose key support at 1.1836, Mar 9 low.

    • USDJPY remains in an uptrend. Attention is on 109.56, 61.8% of the Mar 2020 - Jan downleg and an important pivot resistance. Support is at 108.34 Mar 10 low.
  • On the commodity front, the bullish engulfing candle in Gold on Wednesday remains in play and price is pressuring the 20-day EMA. The focus is on $1783.7, the 50-day EMA. Selling pressure in Oil contracts yesterday confirms a correction is underway. Brent (K1)potential is for a move to $57.31, Feb 12 low and in WTI (J1), attention is on $60.00.

  • In the FI space, Bunds (M1) remain vulnerable following yesterday's sell-off and despite today's recovery. A move lower would expose 170.37, 61.8% of the Feb 25 - Mar 11 rally. Gilts (M1) registered a fresh trend low print yesterday confirming a resumption of the downtrend. The focus is on 126.55, Apr 17, 2019 low (cont). Treasuries remain in a downtrend. The focus is on 131-00 and 130-07, Feb 2 2020 low and a key support.

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