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Policy
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
TECHS: Price Signal Summary - USD Bounce A Correction?
Bunds (H1) remain soft following this week's sell-off. Watch support at 177.01, Dec 23 low. A break would trigger deeper losses. 177.85, yesterday's high is the first resistance.- Gilts (H1) traded through support at 134.89, Dec 30 low. Attention turns to 134.47, 76.4% of the Dec 24 - Jan 4 rally
- Treasuries (H1) remain on the back foot having breached key support at 137.07+, Dec 4 low. From a technical standpoint, this opens 137.00 and more importantly 136.26+, Nov 11 low.
- In the equity space, the trend in the E-Mini S&P, remains bullish with the focus on 3800.00 next and 3819.10, 1.764 projection of Sep 24 - Oct 12 rally from Oct 30 low.
- On the commodity front, Gold remains in an uptrend despite yesterday's sell-off. Key resistance is at $1965.6, Nov 9 high. Watch support at $1900.9, yesterday's low. Both Brent and WTI continue to extend gains. Brent (H1) has potential for $55.14 next, the 1.382 projection of the Nov 13 - 26 rally from Dec 2 low. WTI (G1) targets $52.11, 1.00 projection of Apr - Aug rally from the Nov 2 low.
- In FX , the USD remains weak although it has found some support this morning. The EURUSD upside objective remains 1.2380, 2.00 projection of the Nov 4 - 9 rally from the Nov 11 low. Support lies at 1.2209/04, Dec 31 low and the 20-day EMA. USDJPY targets 102.02, Mar 10 low following this week's fresh low prints. For now though, and with price through the 20-day EMA, the risk is for a climb towards 103.90, Dec 28 high.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.