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Terminal Pricing Pulls Back

STIR

A pullback in Federal Reserve implied hike pricing (4bp on the day for the June meeting) on negative US debt negotiations headlines dragged on ECB and BoE implied rates late in Friday's session. On the day:

  • ECB terminal depo Rate pricing +0.4bp to 3.77% (53bp of further hikes left in the cycle). This was 4bp down from the session high. A June hike is priced at 23.1bp (flat on the session).
  • BoE terminal Bank Rate pricing -0.3bp to 4.96% (46bp of further hikes left in the cycle), down 3bp from the session high which at one point threatened to break through the 2023 high water mark of 5.01%. A June hike seen 20.5bp (flat on the session but 1.5bp below day's high).



Source: BBG, MNI

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