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Late Equity Roundup: Mildly Lower on Week


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Earlier today former Texas Senate candidate and 2020 Democratic presidential primary challenger Beto O'Rourke officially announced his intention to run for the Democratic nomination for Governor of Texas in 2022. Opinion polling shows that incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott with only a narrow lead over O'Rourke.

  • Historically the Texas governorship would be an easy win for the Republicans but the state continues to shift from deep red towards purple as its urban centres (with strong liberal Democrat voting bases) expand.
  • O'Rourke not guaranteed the Democratic nomination, with Hollywood actor Matthew McConaughey also rumoured to be exploring a bid.
  • Two most recent YouGov polls show a relatively close race. In 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote:
    • Oct 22-31: Abbott (R): 46%, O'Rourke (D): 37%.
    • Oct 14-27: Abbott (R): 43%, O'Rourke (D): 42%
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