November 28, 2024 04:17 GMT
THB: USD/THB Close To 100-day EMA Support, Trade Data Prints Tomorrow
THB
Spot USD/THB tested sub 34.40 in earlier dealings which was fresh lows back to Nov 11. We sit slightly higher in latest dealings (near 34.425). The baht is still up 0.45% for the session so far, on par with IDR as the best performing EM Asia currency. This largely reflects catch up to US weakness post yesterday's onshore close though.
- For Spot USD/THB, current spot levels are very close to the 20 and 100 EMA support points, see the chart below. We are still comfortably above earlier Nov levels though near 33.50/55.
- Broader USD sentiment is more stable in the G10 FX today, as we approach month end, while liquidity will also be lighter given the upcoming US Thanksgiving holiday.
- US-TH yield differentials sit off recent highs a touch, but aren't pointing to sharp pull back in USD/THB levels. US inflation data on Wednesday was supportive of a cautious Fed backdrop.
- Local equities in Thailand also continue to track lower. Offshore investors have been sellers of local equities this past week (-$61.6mn)
- The data calendar swings back into gear tomorrow with Oct trade balance and current account figures.
Fig 1: USD/THB Versus EMAs
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