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The focal point of today's Asia-Pac session...>

CHINA
CHINA: The focal point of today's Asia-Pac session will be the PBoC's LPR
fixing, due at 01:30 GMT. Most analysts look for the 1- & 5-Year fixings to fall
by 5bp (with a tilt towards the potential for slightly deeper reductions in the
1-Year fix), although some look for no change in the 5-Year fix. The 1-Year LPR
fixed at 4.20% in Oct, with the 5-Year variant fixing at 4.85%, both were unch.
The recent 5bp cuts to both the rate applied to the PBoC's 1-Year MLF & 7-Day
Reverse Repo ops should facilitate lower LPR fixings today.
- Policymakers want to avoid the stigma of flood like stimulus, especially given
the sharp move higher in headline CPI, through the ceiling of 3.0% Y/Y. Pork
prices have been the driver of headline CP, with wholesale pork prices edging
back from peaks in recent days & policymakers pledging commitment re: dealing
with the issue. Credit flows are likely limiting the follow through of the
PBoC's targeted easing & Tuesday saw the PBoC stress that it will step up
counter-cyclical adj & continue prudent MonPol as the downward pressure on the
econ continues to increase. The PBoC also noted that it will boost bank's
abilities to provide credit & cont. to push real lending rates lower.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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