Free Trial

The front end of the Sonia curve is steeper...>

SONIA
SONIA: The front end of the Sonia curve is steeper in early Tuesday morning
trade compared to Monday's close as markets continue to digest the implications
of the transitional agreement and look ahead to key data releases from the UK
this week and then BoE monetary policy decision on Thursday. UK Feb CPI is
released today at 0930GMT with consensus seeing it rise 0.6% on the month, but
fall to 2.8% y/y vs 3.0% y/y in Jan. MNI PINCH calculate 83.5% chance of a hike
in May-18 and a 57.5% chance of a second rate hike in November. Current levels
in short end Sonia:-
* 6-mth +0.8bp at 0.643%
* 9-mth +0.9bp at 0.7%
* 12-mth +1bp at 0.75%
* 15-mth +1bp at 0.794%
* 18-mth +1.1bp at 0.836%
* 21-mth +1.2bp at 0.874%
* 2-yr +1.2bp at 0.909%
* 3-yr +1.4bp at 1.016%

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.