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The kiwi appreciated in reaction to a beat.....>

KIWI
KIWI: The kiwi appreciated in reaction to a beat in New Zealand's Q3 CPI. On a
quarterly basis, inflation accelerated to +0.7% against the prior +0.6% and mkt
projections for pace staying unchanged. The Y/Y figure decelerated to +1.5% from
+1.7% seen in Q2, but topped market expectations of +1.4%. Both figures overshot
RBNZ forecasts of +0.5% Q/Q and +1.3% (as per the most recent MPS).
- NZD/USD last deals at $0.6303, 8 pips higher but off an earlier high of
$0.6320. Bulls look for a push above $0.6327/28, the high of Sep 26 & Oct 8/50%
retracement of the Sep 12 - Oct 1 slide. Above opens $0.6353-57, which hosts the
50-DMA, the high of Oct 11 & the 61.8% retracement of that range at $0.6357.
Bears would like to see a throwback below the Oct 10 trough at $0.6277.
- RBNZ's Bascand speaks at writing (text available at http://tiny.cc/Bascand).
- Following Tuesday's uneventful Asia-Pac session, the pair slid through EU
hours amid uncertainty re: the outlook for U.S.-China trade relations. A softer
USD allowed some recovery into the WMR fix, but the rate remained in the red.
- There are no more NZ data releases this week, but it will be worth watching
Chinese Q3 GDP and monthly activity indicators, which come out on Friday.

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