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The long end has waned as we grind.....>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: The long end has waned as we grind towards the close, with the RBA
pointing to 3x ACGB purchases a week, down from the current 4x & a likely
continuation of 1x semi purchases a week for the foreseeable. This comes on the
back of the recent tapering observed in the daily purchase ops, with the RBA
seemingly content re: the enforcement of its YCC and the functioning of the bond
market, for now. Lowe also stressed that purchases can always revert to a daily
schedule, if warranted. As an aside the Bank focused on the '25-'26 zone of the
curve in today's purchases. YM -0.5, XM -3.0. In terms of the economic
assessment, there wasn't much to shock: "it is likely that the unemployment rate
will remain above 6 per cent over the next couple of years. With many firms
delaying or cancelling wage increases, year-ended wage growth is expected to
decline to below 2 per cent, before gradually picking up again. In underlying
terms, inflation is expected to remain below 2 per cent over the next couple of
years." This came in the wake of the first weekly ABS payrolls report, which
made for grim reading, as you would expect, given the sample period.
- Elsewhere, the RBA minutes held little new info.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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