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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessThe upcoming retail sales figures...>
US DATA PREVIEW: The upcoming retail sales figures for April (at 0830ET) will
likely be a record-setter to the downside. There's a wide range of estimates for
the headline # in the BBG survey: median -12.0% M/M, but hi: -6.5% and lo:
-25.0%. Many retailers were closed through April and falling gas prices will
keep monthly gas station sales low, holding down headline sales.
- The control group (ex-autos, gas stations, building materials, and an input to
Q2 GDP) is seen a tamer -5.0% median, but range still goes from +1.5% to -12.1%.
- A methodological point via a Cleveland Fed economist interviewed by our Data
Team ahead of retail sales: Friday's numbers won't accurately capture the full
extent of virus damage because April marks the first full month of shutdowns and
data collectors likely struggled to get "reliable" responses from shuttered
businesses. The Census Bureau also likely struggled to seasonally adjust the
April figures because the demand shocks were so unusual. (See our full Reality
Check sent out Thursday at 1313ET for more color).
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.