Free Trial

This week: PMIs and Fiscal Headline

UK DATA
  • Looking ahead to this week, the data highlight will be the February Flash PMI data on Thursday. Markets will certainly pay attention to this release, albeit again we don’t think it will really alter the course of monetary policy over the next couple of meetings – further out the curve growth data should have more impact though.
  • This week will also see the release of public finance data on Wednesday. These data are not normally too market moving, but this release is likely to be more closely watched as we suspect it will be the last release to be used in the upcoming OBR forecasts that are due to be published alongside the Budget on 6 March. However, given that the forecast process has likely already started and the January data will include large income tax payments (due to the payment deadlines), it is possible that the OBR bases its forecasts off the previous month’s data. Either way, the income tax component will be interesting to look at, while the CGNCR numbers will be important for any change to the remit.
  • In terms of other data this week we will receive XpertHR pay data, CBI trends data as well as the GfK Consumer Confidence data.
203 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
  • Looking ahead to this week, the data highlight will be the February Flash PMI data on Thursday. Markets will certainly pay attention to this release, albeit again we don’t think it will really alter the course of monetary policy over the next couple of meetings – further out the curve growth data should have more impact though.
  • This week will also see the release of public finance data on Wednesday. These data are not normally too market moving, but this release is likely to be more closely watched as we suspect it will be the last release to be used in the upcoming OBR forecasts that are due to be published alongside the Budget on 6 March. However, given that the forecast process has likely already started and the January data will include large income tax payments (due to the payment deadlines), it is possible that the OBR bases its forecasts off the previous month’s data. Either way, the income tax component will be interesting to look at, while the CGNCR numbers will be important for any change to the remit.
  • In terms of other data this week we will receive XpertHR pay data, CBI trends data as well as the GfK Consumer Confidence data.