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Tighter Restrictions, More Stimulus

THB

Spot USD/THB holds Friday's range and last trades -0.007 at THB31.388, showing a limited reaction to weekend news flow re: local Covid-19 outbreak.

  • Thailand's Public Health Emergency Operation Centre held an emergency meeting Sunday to discuss the resurgence of the local Covid-19 outbreak. Public Health Ministry off'l told the media that the gov't is planning to implement a new colour-coded system of targeted restrictions, which will effectively involve tighter curbs.
  • Meanwhile, Bangkok metropolitan authorities shut a range of businesses for two weeks and ordered residents to wear masks or face THB20,000 fines.
  • PM Prayuth unveiled plans to inject THB380bn into domestic economy to stimulate consumption and investment. The announcement lacked details re: timeline of spending.
  • Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) chief said that the gov't may need to rethink its fiscal sustainability framework, as economic recovery requires continued stimulus.
  • PM Prayuth will meet with representatives of the private sector Wednesday to discuss how to facilitate the national Covid-19 vaccination campaign.
  • Thailand's M'fing Production Index comes out Wednesday, with analysts surveyed by BBG expecting the index to fall -0.40% Y/Y vs. -1.08%.
  • Later in the week's focus moves to Friday's BoP current account balance, trade data & foreign reserves data.
  • Bears would be pleased by a slide through Apr 19 low of THB31.173, towards Mar 26 low of THB31.060. Bullish focus falls on Apr 12 cycle high of THB31.575.

Fig. 1: Thailand Daily Confirmed Covid-19 Cases

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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