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TMX Startup Indicates Asian Demand Pickup for Canadian Barrels

OIL

An oversupply of Aframax tankers on the west coast of the Americas in anticipation of the TMX pipeline startup pressed Vancouver loading rates to a six-month low towards the end of April according to Argus reports.

  • This is expected to ease now that permitting signals that the TMX pipeline is on scheduled to begin operations this month.
  • Argus reports the first shipment on the line is the Aframax Dubai Angel for a Vancouver-China voyage on May 18.
  • In March, China's state-run Sinochem purchased the first TMX cargo — 550,000 bl of Canadian Access Western Blend — for June delivery.
  • It would mark the first Vancouver-China shipments since May 2023 according to Vortexa.
  • China already pulls heavy sour Canadian barrels via the US Gulf Coast – averaging 110,000 bpd in 2023.
  • Higher flows on the new pipeline give Asian buyers access to heavier barrels which have been in tighter supply in early 2024 due to factors like prolonged OPEC+ supply cuts.

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