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Tnotes/Bund spread breaks the November low

BONDS
  • Short end Germany 2s, 5s are catching up with the longer end 10s, 30s, which were leading post EU Cash.
  • The early move pushed the curve flatter, with 5s/30s testing its lowest level since pre Christmas, but now testing session high, and bull steeper, albeit still very short of the steepest levels tested in December.
  • Positioning has been the early flow, with EGBs taking their cue from the bid in US Treasury futures.
  • The Tnotes/Bund spread is now through the November low of 178.6bps, tightest print since October.
  • Further tightening traction as some Investors look for the Fed to be the first Major CB to cut rates in 2024, targets 168.81bps, the 38.2% retrace of the April/October widening bias.

Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg

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