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Trade Balance and Economic Activity Data Due

MEXICO
  • Mexico is expected to post a June trade surplus of $2.01b, up from $339.7m in May, according to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Increasing shipments of manufactured goods, in line with robust U.S. demand and abating transitory shocks, should help explain the increase. Additionally, at the top of the hour, Mexico will release economic activity figures, before posting second quarter GDP on Friday.
  • Despite an overnight session dominated by risk-off sentiment and a decent move higher in USDCNH through 6.50 resistance, USDMXN has failed to make any meaningful moves. With a similar pop towards 20.15, the lack of follow through sees us edging back towards the 20.00 mark.
    • For an indication of the rangebound trading, USDMXN has only closed outside of the 19.80/20.20 range once, since 22nd June.
  • 1200BST/0700ET – Mexico June Trade Balance (Est. 2.01B vs. 0.34B Prior)
  • 1200BST/0700ET – Mexico May Economic Activity (Est. 0.33% m/m vs. -0.16% Prior)
  • 1200BST/0700ET – Mexico May Economic Activity (Est. 23.9% y/y vs. 22.33% Prior)

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