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Treasuries Bear Steepen Ahead Of Data, Fed Nominations

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have seen a sizeable bear steepening today as the long end sells off on Russia de-escalation moves.
  • 2YY +1.9bps at 1.594%, 5YY +3.7bps at 1.949%, 10YY +5.6bps at 2.043% and 30YY +5.6bps at 2.341%.
  • This sees the 2s10s firm 3.5bps to 45bps, rising off yesterday’s low of 38bps, the lowest since Aug 2020.
  • TYH2 is down 10+ ticks on the day at 125-21+ having moved sharply lower on headlines of Russian units moving back to their bases. This leaves it just above first support of 125-17+ (Feb 10 low) after which it would open 125-06+ (low May 30, 2019, cont).
  • Fed: Senate Banking Committee nomination hearings for Raskin, Cook & Jefferson (1415ET).
  • Data: PPI inflation is the highlight at 0830ET but Empire Manufacturing is also of note, being the first of the main surveys for Feb (also 0830ET).
  • NY Fed buy-op: Tsy 4.5Y-7Y, appr $3.225B vs. $6.025B prior (1030ET)

US 2s10s USTsSource: Bloomberg

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