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Free AccessTreasuries Little Changed Ahead Of US PCE Later
- Treasury futures are little changed ahead of the US core PCE data later tonight. TU is -0.125 at 101-25.125, after hitting a session high of 101-25.75, while TY did briefly trade above Thursday's highs, however now trade little changed at 108-18.
- Volumes: TU 44.5k, FV 80.5k TY 110k
- Tsys flow: 2/5/10 Block, buyer FV on the fly in 636k DV01.
- Cash treasury curve is little change, yields are flat to 0.5bps lower. The 2Y unchanged at 4.925% while the 10Y -0.2bp at 4.544%.
- US overnight indexed swaps are now pricing more than 80% odds for a 25bps rate cut in November
- Local rates market: ACGB yield are 3-5bps lower, 5yr supply was well supported, NZGBs are 6-10bps lower as market digests the budget and following strong auction results across 7, 10 & 15yr tenors, while JGBs are 1-3bps higher, with the 10Y yield at 1.069% just off recent highs.
- Looking ahead; PCE, Personal Income/Spending and MNI's Chicago PMI, while Atlanta Fed Pres Bostic will speak.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.