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Treasuries Twist Flatten Ahead Of CPI

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys have twist flattened through the European session as 10Y yields struggle to rise materially above 3% whilst 2Y yields continue to shift higher as year-end Fed pricing squeezes to new highs. The move is likely helped by Shanghai set to reinstate Covid restrictions on seven districts this weekend to conduct mass testing.
  • The combination sees 2s10s at 18bps for the lowest since early May, although a long way off recent lows of -10bps in early April.
  • 2YY +3.4bps at 2.846%, 5YY +0.9bps at 3.073%, 10YY -1.5bps at 3.027%, 30YY -1.5bps at 3.148%.
  • TYU2 sits 2 ticks higher at 118-00 in the middle of yesterday’s range which sees the outlook remain bearish, eyeing support at 117-22 (Jun 9 low) with resistance at 119-16+ (Jun 1 high).
  • Data: CPI inflation for May is obviously key but real earnings, the preliminary June U.Mich consumer survey and later the monthly budget statement for May are also of note.
  • No issuance.

Recent flattening in 2s10sSource: Bloomberg

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