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Treasury Futures Little Changed, Ranges Tight, 2Y10Y at -50bps

US TSYS
  • Treasury futures have traded in tight ranges today, the front-end has underperformed just a touch with TUU4 now +0-00+ at 102-06⅛, while TYU4 is currently +0-03 at 110-20.
  • The 2Y10Y has hit -50.00 for the first time since December, with the dec lows at -56.116
  • Volumes: TU 25k, FV 33k, TY 55k
  • Tsys flows: Earlier there was a Block Fly (TU, TY, WN) Buyer belly, DV01 310k
  • Cash treasury curve is little changed this morning, yields are flat to 0.5bp higher.
  • APAC Markets: ACGB curve is slightly flatter, yields are 1-3bps lower, NZGB curve is 1.5-2.5bps lower, while JGBs are flat to 1.5bps higher, curve is slightly steeper.
  • The Fed's Mary Daly warned that the US labor market is nearing an inflection point where further slowing could lead to higher unemployment and emphasized the need for restrained demand to return inflation to the 2% target. She stressed the importance of remaining vigilant and adaptable in monetary policy, given the uncertainty in inflation trends and labor market conditions.
  • Fed Governors Michelle Bowman and Lisa Cook will speak later Tuesday
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