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Trend Remains Firm in CEEMEA FX To The Exception of The TRY

EM FX
  • Momentum has been strong on CEEMEA currencies in May, to the exception of the TRY, which keeps reaching new record lows against the US Dollar.
  • Best performer this month is the ZAR, up 5.2%, quickly followed by the HUF, up 4.9% against the greenback following NBH deputy governor Virag's 'hawkish' comments that Hungary should prepare for rate hikes in the coming months.
  • The rise in inflationary pressures in Poland has also increased the probability of an early hike by the NBP and therefore has been supporting the PLN, which is up 3.1% this month, following a 4.1% appreciation in April.
  • The RUB has also been gradually appreciating this month, up 2.6% against the USD and slowly approaching its ST support at 72.66.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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