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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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A new survey from Suffolk University/NBC10 Boston/Boston Globe has found that former President Donald Trump is holding onto his sizeable lead over Nikki Haley in New Hampshire… but Haley continues to close the gap.”
- NBC Boston writes: “Trump holding steady at 50%, while Haley jumped two percentage points to 36%.”
- The New Hampshire primary is the second event of the presidential nominating process with the prevailing wisdom suggesting that another strong Trump showing could effectively end the nomination race.
- Following his decisive win in Iowa, Trump’s campaign appears to be strengthening control over the Republican Party, issuing new threats to House Freedom Caucus Chair Bob Good (R-VA) for endorsing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL).
- Axios notes: “Anyone who endorsed a rival candidate before the Iowa caucuses is now a prime target for retribution…. It's the latest sign that loyalty — not ideology, given that Good is one of the most conservative Republicans in the House — is the organizing principle of Trumpism.”
- Trump’s strategy of primarying Republican lawmakers who opposed him in the 2022 midterms was widely seen as leading to weak candidate quality and an underperformance at the ballot box.
- Following a similar playbook risks the same outcome in 2024 as strongly pro-Trump Republican candidates may perform strongly in primaries but lack the electability of more moderate GOP candidates in the general election.
Figure 1: Voting Intention, New Hampshire Republican Primary
Source: Suffolk University/NBC10 Boston/Boston Globe
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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