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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessTsy/Eurodollar Futures/Options Roundup
Strong, carry-over risk-off tone kicked off new week Mon, normally all about Wed's FOMC policy annc was overshadowed by growing Russia/Ukraine tension and what NATO, US and allies would do if Russia invades it's southern boarder.
- NATO forces on standby "and sending additional ships and fighter jets to NATO deployments in eastern Europe”. Pentagon issued US troop standby alert ahead possible Russia/Ukraine action. Pentagon official, spokesman John Kirby added U.S. IS TAKING STEPS TO HEIGHTEN READINESS OF FORCES, 8,500 U.S. PERSONNEL READY TO BE ACTIVATED TO AID NATO.
- Risk-off actually scaled back late, bonds weaker but off lows, while equities rebounded but still traded in the lower after the FI close (ESH2 -4353.0 vs. 4212.75 low (mid-July '21 lows).
- Limited react to data: CHICAGO FED NATIONAL ACTIVITY INDEX AT -0.15 VS 0.44 PRIOR; US FLASH JAN SERVICES PMI 50.9; DEC 57.6.
- Decent 2Y sale, Tsy futures remain bid after $54B 2Y note auction (91282CDV0) stops through: 0.990% high yield vs. 1.002% WI; 2.81x bid-to-cover outpaces last moth's 2.55x, well over five auction avg: 2.51x.
- Short expiriy options continued to favor hedging for quarterly 25bp rate hikes starting in March, additional 2-3 hikes in 2023, policy path uncertainty around late 2024.
- Tues' data roundup: FHFA House Price Index, Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed Mfg, $55B 5Y note sale (91282CDT5).
- The 2-Yr yield is down 4.5bps at 0.9566%, 5-Yr is down 3.5bps at 1.5223%, 10-Yr is down 1.6bps at 1.7422%, and 30-Yr is up 1.9bps at 2.0899%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.