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US TSYS SUMMARY: *** Tsy futures finally gained traction/held gains after a
choppy start to session, 10Y yld 2.428% vs. session high of 2.475%.
Gold, oil and equities all trading higher by midday (emini currently +15.5,
- Tsy futures traded lower following higher than expected US flash Q3 GDP
(+3.0%), heavy selling in TYZ from from 124-11.5 down to 124-09. Buyers stepped
in to buy lows following softer 100.7 Oct BBG/Michigan consumer sentiment. Prop
and fast$ accts bought intermediates, real$ buying 10s as bounce gained
traction, additional buying on softer US$ vs. Yen.
- Other factors supporting rates: news that Catalonia officially declared
independence from Spain while Bloomberg reporting that Pres. Trump favored
Jerome "Jay" Powell as his next Fed Chair. Decision on appt expected next wk
before Pres Trump travels to Asia on Nov 3, the latter spurred heavy buying in
TYZ from 124-16 to 124-19.
- Tsys pared gains midway through second half, position squaring ahead weekend,
next wk's FOMC (no-change exp), while Nov Tsy options expire today.