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Tsys Futures Steady Ahead Of Fed Speakers Later

US TSYS
  • Treasuries futures are little changed today as traders are awaiting remarks from Federal Reserve officials later on Monday to get any clues about the timing of a future interest-rate cut. TUU4 is -0-00+ at 102-05⅝, while TYU4 is +0-00+ at 110-16+
  • Volumes: TU 28k FV 35k TY 71k
  • Tsys Flows: Block Fly TU, TY, WN, buyer of TY, DV01 315k
  • Cash treasury curve is little changed today, ranges have been very tighter with the 2Y +0.2bps at 4.734%, 5Y -0.5bp at 4.269% while the 10Y is -0.6bp at 4.250%
  • APAC markets: ACGBs are +/- 1bps, earlier there was a 29 auction which went smoothly but less demand than prior auctions, NZGBs are 2-3bps lower, while the JGB curve has bear-steepened, yields are 1-4bps higher, while the JPY eyes 160.00
  • Projected rate cut pricing remains steady to mildly lower vs. this morning's levels (*): July'24 at -10% w/ cumulative at -2.5bp at 5.302%, Sep'24 cumulative -17.6bp (-18.4bp), Nov'24 cumulative -26.6bp (-27.8bp), Dec'24 -46.7bp (-47.2bp).
  • Looking ahead, Dallas Fed Manf. Activity and Fed speak
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