Free Trial

Tsys Hold Narrow/Weaker Range Ahead Wed's FOMC

US TSYS

Tsys hold weaker, inside session range at midday, relative quiet start to a FOMC week. Higher than expected Spanish CPI/HICP inflation triggered selling across the board overnight, while Tsys see-sawed inside range with no substantive data to react to.

  • Tsy 30YY currently 3.6545% (+.0355), yield curves flatter: 2s10s -0.915 at -70.091, 5s10s -2.337 at -13.184. Decent volumes (TYH3 >1M) with Asia back from Lunar New Year holidays.
  • Fed funds implied hike for Feb'23 steady at 26.3bp ahead Wed's FOMC annc, Mar'23 cumulative 46.9bp to 4.798%, May'23 58.5bp to 4.914%, terminal at climbs to 4.925% in Jun'23.
  • Additional policy/event risk with the BOE and ECB announcing this Thu. Participants plying the sidelines ahead Fri's Jan employment data (175k est vs. 223k prior).
  • Eearnings annc pick up in earnest early Tue w/: International Paper (IP), Pfizer (PFE), Philips 66 (PSX), Pulte Grp (PHM), McDonalds (MCD), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Corning (GLW), Sysco (SYY), UPS, GM, Caterpillar (CAT), Exxon (XOM).

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.