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Tsys trade mixed, long end.............>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: Tsys trade mixed, long end outperforming (long end liquidity
challenged going into holiday mkt: earlier Block of +2,696 WNH at 162-05, buy
through post time offer of 162-01 that helped push follow through buying on
screen to late overnight high of 162-10, and adding to Wed's sharp post-FOMC
curve flattening. Recession signal chatter on the rise again as yld curves
pancake. 30YY sub 3.0% first time since late August.
- Overnight flow includes decent two-way in 5s and 10s, mild but better buying
in long end from real$; better selling Eurodollar Whites (EDH9-EDZ9),
particularly in lead quarterly after 3M LIBOR set +0.0341 to 2.8237%
(+0.0230/wk). Note, 3M FRA/OIS spiked to 29.45H currently +1.15 at 28.30; 2Y
swap widens accordingly to 14.19 vs. 13.75 at moment (+1.25).
- On tap Thursday: Aside from weekly claims and the Bloomberg comfort index for
December; Leading Indicators for November (flat estimate); Philadelphia Fed Mfg
Index (15.0 est).
- Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 100-05.5 (2.656%), 5Y 101-02.75 (2.637%), 10Y 103-01.5
(2.769%), 30Y 107-20.5 (2.986%)

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