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TTF Above JKM Until End of 2024

LNG

Front month JKM-TTF spread maintaining just below 20$/mmbtu as TTF hovers just above 200€/MWh today.

  • TTF AUG 22 down -0.3% at 204.65€/MWh
  • JKM Aug 22 up 7.3% at 43.13$/mmbtu
  • US Natgas SEP 22 down -0.2% at 8.54$/mmbtu
  • Supply from Russian is stable but low and therefore keeping the strength in European gas relative to other markets.
  • TTF prices are well above JKM this year and although the spread closes, TTF remains higher until the end of 2024.
  • Both curves are well above US Natgas encouraging strong LNG exports with the flows in favour of Europe. The Sep US netback to Europe is currently 51.46$/mmbtu compared to 32.38$/mmbtu to Asia.
  • European net LNG imports are at approximately 196mcm/d compared to the seasonal average of near 60mcm/d.

Source: Bloomberg

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