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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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EM Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessTuesday saw BofAML note that "following a.....>
BUNDS: Tuesday saw BofAML note that "following a month of increased trade
uncertainty, last week was dominated by central banks' reactions. We had dovish
reactions from the Fed, the BoE, as well as finally the ECB. After a
disappointing reaction to the June ECB meeting (breakevens lower, curve flatter
and EUR stronger), Mr Draghi tried to change the narrative at the ECB's
symposium in Sintra. He argued that the ECB would be forced into action not by
the materialization of negative contingencies, but by the absence of improvement
in the data flow. Specifically, the ECB has put all options on the table:
enhanced forward guidance, rate cuts and asset purchases. All three are
supportive of rates markets. Our economists now expect tweaks to forward
guidance in Jul followed by rate cuts in Sep. We reached and broke through our
-25bp Bund yield targets from a month ago. We now expect Bund yields to trade as
low as -40bp with flattening pressure on the curve. The search for yield,
increased likelihood of QE being priced, and extended forward guidance - we
believe - will outweigh any short-term mechanical curve steepening in response
to rate cuts."
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.