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Turnaround Tuesday? - This morning's..........>

FOREX
FOREX: Turnaround Tuesday?
- This morning's recovery in equities and sentiment looks like a typical dead
cat bounce, with position squaring, short-covering and fatigue helping some
indices stabilise. As such, core European indices sit higher by 2-3%, but the
bounce back in Italian assets is more limited, with news of a now national
lockdown keeping any optimism anchored. Implied vols are also creeping lower,
with short-end JPY, EUR and RUB vols the largest decliners.
- This has translated into weaker safe havens so far, with JPY the poorest
performer in G10 FX, extending USD/JPY's recovery from just above Y101 yesterday
to just shy of Y105 today. Furtively higher oil markets have also helped put a
near-term floor in the likes of CAD and NOK, which outperform slightly today,
but are yet to repair the considerable damage suffered on Monday.
- There are no notable data releases today, keeping focus on a meeting between
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, where they are expected to
outline the details of the US stimulus package to combat the Coronavirus.

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