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U.Mich Consumer Sentiment Slides As Inflation Expectations Climb

US DATA
  • U.Mich consumer sentiment was much weaker than expected in the preliminary May report at 67.4 (cons 76.2) after an unrevised 77.2.
  • The press release notes the 10pt decline is “statistically significant” and leaves sentiment at the lowest in about six months.
  • “This month’s trend in sentiment is characterized by a broad consensus across consumers, with decreases across age, income, and education groups.”
  • Consumers “expressed worries that inflation, unemployment and interest rates may all be moving in an unfavorable direction in the year ahead.”
  • 1Y expectations increased to 3.5% (cons 3.2) after 3.2%, its highest since November.
  • 5-10Y expectations increased a tenth to 3.1% (cons 3.0) after 3.0%, also its highest since November but still within the 2.9-3.1% typically seen since Aug 21.

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