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UBS have added an ACGB 3s10s...........>

AUSSIE BONDS
AUSSIE BONDS: UBS have added an ACGB 3s10s flattener as part of their top macro
trades for H218 "given Australia's leverage to global growth, a recovery in
global growth expectations from the soft patch in Q1 can push up rates at the
front end of the curve. Indeed, Australian front-end rates have shown increased
correlation with global front-end yields. At the same time, the relative
attractiveness of the long end should keep 10-year yields relatively anchored.
Long-end Aussie yields are close to the level implied by nominal GDP growth, and
Australian bonds are attractive to Japanese investors on a currency-hedged
basis. For Japanese-domiciled investors, Australian 10-year rates are 5-10bp
more attractive than UST yields on a currency-hedged basis. Given relatively low
Japanese yields, this is a decent yield pick-up for Japanese investors. We think
the 3s10s curve can flatten another 30-40bp."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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