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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
UK
There has been a major repricing in political betting markets in recent hours, with a Q324 general election now seen as the most likely date. According to data from Smarkets, there is now an 87.0% implied probability of a Q324 general election (likely July) compared to an 11.6% of the vote taking place in Q424. This compares to 24 hours ago, when the figure for Q324 stood at 14.3% and the Q424 implied probability at 79.4%.
Chart 1. Implied Probability of Date of Next General Election by Quarter, Last 24 Hours, %
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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