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UK politics have again dominated markets so....>

STIR
STIR: UK politics have again dominated markets so far today as Graham Brady has
confirmed that he has received the 48 letters needed to trigger a vote of no
confidence in PM May from the Conservative party.
- After initially rallying on the calling of the no confidence vote, short
sterling fell back. First, on the headline that if May was to lose the vote that
leaving the EU may have to be delayed. Second, as markets began to price in a
greater chance of a May victory, with betting markets now pricing around an 80%
chance of a May victory. Whites and Reds are down 0.5-1 tick on the day with
Blues and Greens largely unchanged.
- The Eurodollar curve has steepened today. Whites are up about 0.5 tick, Reds
up to 1 tick lower and Greens and Blues 1.5-2 ticks lower on the day.
- The Euribor curve has seen smaller moves with Whites completely unchanged on
the day, with Reds, Greens and Blues 0.5 ticks lower.
- In Sweden, a softer than expected CPIF print has seen implied rates fall
across the curve, with implied rates on the M9 and U9 contracts 4bp lower and
implied rates on Reds and Greens up to 8.5bp lower on the day.

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