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(X2) Bear Trend Extension

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UK Sellside GDP Views (Low to High): 1/3

UK DATA

RBC

  • “Our best estimate is that GDP is likely to post a fall of -1.5%m/m consistent with our expectation of an overall fall in GDP of 0.3% q/q for the quarter as a whole.”
  • “Does it really matter, at least from a monetary policy perspective? The main impact of events such as June’s extra bank holiday tend to be to the timing of activity with most recovered in the subsequent period. More important for the outlook for monetary policy therefore will be how GDP recovers in July given the number of one-off factors during the quarter. “

JP Morgan

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RBC

  • “Our best estimate is that GDP is likely to post a fall of -1.5%m/m consistent with our expectation of an overall fall in GDP of 0.3% q/q for the quarter as a whole.”
  • “Does it really matter, at least from a monetary policy perspective? The main impact of events such as June’s extra bank holiday tend to be to the timing of activity with most recovered in the subsequent period. More important for the outlook for monetary policy therefore will be how GDP recovers in July given the number of one-off factors during the quarter. “

JP Morgan

Keep reading...Show less