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Free AccessUMich Survey Shows Gas, Pump Prices A Driver For Higher Inflation Expectations
University of Michigan Sentiment (Nov F) M/M 61.3 vs. Exp. 61.0 (Prelim. 60.4)
- Current Conditions 68.3 (Prelim. 65.7)
- Expectations 56.8 (Prelim. 56.9)
- 1-year Inflation Expectations 4.5% vs. Exp. 4.4% (Prelim. 4.4%)
- 5-10-year Inflation Expectations 3.2% vs. Exp. 3.1% (Prelim. 3.2%)
Both 1yr and 5-10y inflation expectations revised 0.1ppts higher - against market expectations. Helping add to the USD bid and pushing EUR/USD to new pullback lows as US 10y yield re-top 4.40%.
Looks like concern over gas and pump prices were largely responsible for those higher inflation expectations:- Inflation expectations have risen in spite of the fact that consumers have taken note of the continued slowdown in inflation. At this time, consumers appear worried that the softening of inflation could reverse in the months and years ahead.Despite easing prices at the pump, one-year gas price expectations rose to its highest reading since June 2022, and five-year gas price expectations are their highest since March 2022.
- About 25% of consumers reported hearing negative news about labor markets, up from 20% last month and the highest reading since May 2023.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.