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Underlying CPIF Jump in February

SWEDEN
MNI (London)

SWEDEN FEB CPIF +0.9% M/M, +9.4% Y/Y (FCST ); JAN +9.3% Y/Y

SWEDEN FEB CPIF EX ENERGY +9.3% Y/Y (FCST +8.7%); JAN +8.7% Y/Y

  • Swedish inflation surprised to the upside in February, with the Riksbank's closely-watched CPIF (ex. direct effects of monetary policy) accelerated by +0.9% m/m, rising 0.1pp to +9.4% y/y against expectations of a 0.1pp slowdown.
  • Of concern will be the substantial 0.6pp uptick in CPIF excluding energy, which jumped to +9.3% y/y in February.
  • Underpinning today's acceleration were higher food prices, which jumped +2.8% m/m as well as marked increases across package holidays (+12.5% m/m), accommodation services (+5.1%) clothing (+4.7%), furniture (+3.7%) and transport (+2.9%).
  • This data comes ahead of the Riksbank's April 26 meeting, for which both a 25bp and 50bp hike are on the table.

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