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Unicredit New Issue: Can See As Tight As MS+130bp

FINANCIALS

Unicredit (UCG IM) pricing thoughts on new issue: good results in Feb, 30bp tightening on SNP in Jan, positive momentum could carry this as low as MS+130bp.


  • UCG is issuing a benchmark EUR 10Y senior preferred bond with an IPT of MS+170bp. There are ’27 and ’31 bonds trading just below MS+120bp (see graphic) so it appears feasible that this issue tightens quite meaningfully from here, perhaps as low as MS+130bp. We have seen some recent issues tighten through their curves, too.
  • UCG reported results on 5-Feb which were above consensus and did include increased equity payout levels though positive credit metrics from the operating businesses. The equity is up 16% since results (vs. SX7P +2.3%) and its senior cash bonds have tightened over the last month (up to 20bp).
  • The bank issued a benchmark 7NC6 SNP on 16-Jan which tightened from IPT of MS+210bp to priced at +180bp for EUR1bn issue and books of EUR1.5bn.

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