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UniCredit on 10y BTP / 30y BTPei syndication

BTP
  • Look for a size of E10-12bln for the 10-year BTP (MNI looks for E10bln).
  • UniCredit notes that "Interpolating BTP 0.9% Apr31 and BTP 1.65% Mar32 we obtain a fair value of 0.55% for the new 10Y BTP, 3bp above the current benchmark."
  • Looks for a size of E3-5bln for the new 30y BTPei (MNI looks for E4-6bln).
  • UniCredit uses four methods to estimate fair value for the BTPei and notes that "Combining the four methods, we think the fair value for the breakeven of the new 30Y BTPei is between 124bp and 130bp, representing a real yield of 0.15-0.20%."

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