November 04, 2024 11:36 GMT
US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (Z4) Bear Cycle Remains In Play
US 10YR FUTURE TECHS
- RES 4: 112-22 High Oct 16 and a key short-term resistance
- RES 3: 112-16+ 50-day EMA
- RES 2: 112-07 High Oct 21
- RES 1: 110-30/111-19+ High Nov 1 / 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 110-16 @ 11:25 GMT Nov 4
- SUP 1: 109-27+ Low Nov 1
- SUP 2: 109-15 Low Jul 1
- SUP 3: 109-05 76.4% retracement of the Apr - Sep bull cycle
- SUP 4: 108-21+ 2.0% 10-dma envelope
A bear cycle in Treasuries remains in play and last week’s extension lower, reinforces current bearish conditions. Note that moving average studies are in a bear-mode position too, highlighting a dominant downtrend. The 110-00 handle has been pierced. A continuation lower would open 109-15, the Jul 1 low. Initial firm resistance is seen at 111.19+, the 20-day EMA. Short-term gains would be considered corrective.
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