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US DATA: Consumer Sentiment Misses Vs Higher Near-Term Inflation Expectations

US DATA
  • U.Mich consumer sentiment disappointed in the preliminary October release, falling to 68.9 (cons 71.0) after 70.1 in September. It leaves sentiment at one of the lower levels seen this year but well within post-pandemic ranges.
  • Declines and downward surprises were seen in both current conditions and expectations components but were most pronounced for expectations.
  • The preliminary survey period ran until Oct 7 so came before Hurricane Milton made landfall.
  • 1Y: 2.9% (cons 2.7) in Oct prelim after 2.7% in Sept. The surprise increase sees it lift from what was the lowest since Dec 2020.
  • 5-10Y: 3.0% (cons 3.0) in Oct prelim after 3.1% in Sept, falling back more firmly into its typical range. 
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  • U.Mich consumer sentiment disappointed in the preliminary October release, falling to 68.9 (cons 71.0) after 70.1 in September. It leaves sentiment at one of the lower levels seen this year but well within post-pandemic ranges.
  • Declines and downward surprises were seen in both current conditions and expectations components but were most pronounced for expectations.
  • The preliminary survey period ran until Oct 7 so came before Hurricane Milton made landfall.
  • 1Y: 2.9% (cons 2.7) in Oct prelim after 2.7% in Sept. The surprise increase sees it lift from what was the lowest since Dec 2020.
  • 5-10Y: 3.0% (cons 3.0) in Oct prelim after 3.1% in Sept, falling back more firmly into its typical range.