US Data: Highlights of Market Survey of Economic Forecasts

     WASHINGTON (MNI)  - The following are highlights of forecasts and comments

for upcoming U.S. economic indicators, with the survey medians provided by

Bloomberg.

September Trade Gap (billions)

Monday, October 28 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Sep19  Aug19 Jul19     

Gap:                -73.5                              --    -72.8 -72.3 

     Comments: The trade gap is expected to widen in September to -73.5 from the

-72.8 seen in August. This increase comes amid continuous global trade tensions.

September Wholesale Inventory (percent change)

Monday, October 28 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Sep19  Aug19 Jul19     

Wholesale:           0.3                               --     0.2   0.2

     Comments: Wholesale inventories are expected to rise slightly to 0.3% from

0.2%. 

October Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (index)

Monday, October 28 at 10:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                           Oct19  Sep19  Aug19      

Index:               1.5                               --    1.5    2.7

     Comments: The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index is poised to remain unchanged

from the September reading of 1.5. 

August Case-Shiller Home Price Index (index)

Tuesday, October 29 at 9:00 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                             Aug19 Jul19 Jun19     

Index:              -0.05                               --   0.02   n/a

     Comments: The August Case-Shiller Home Price Index is expected to decrease

to -0.05 from 0.02. 

September NAR Pending Home Sales Index

Tuesday, October 29 at 10:00 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Sep19  Aug19 Jul19     

Index:               0.5                                --    1.9   -2.5

     Comments: The NAR Pending Home Sales is anticipated to drop to 0.5 from a

1.9 reading in August. This is still higher than July's reading of -2.5.

October Conference Board Confidence Index (index)

Tuesday, October 29 at 10:00 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Oct19 Sep19  Aug19      

Index:               128                               --   125.1  135.1  

     Comments: The Conference Board Confidence index is expected to rise to 128

from 125.1 despite a looming global business slowdown. 

September ADP Private Payrolls (thousands)

Wednesday, October 30 at 8:15 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                           Sep19  Aug19 July19     

Payrolls:           125                              --     135      156

     Comments: September ADP Private payrolls are expected to fall to 125,000 

from 135,000 in August. 

Q3 Preliminary GDP (percent change)

Wednesday, October 30 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Oct19p  Sepf  Sepp    

Index:               1.6                               --    2.0    2.1

Price index:         1.8                               --    2.4    2.2

     Comments: The preliminary third quarter GDP is expected to soften to 1.6 

from 2.0. The Price index is slated to follow suit, dropping to 1.8 from 

2.4. These slowdowns come amid low business spending, manufacturing 

slowdowns, and declining consumer spending.  

September PCE (percent change)

Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                           Sep19  Aug19 July19      

Income:              0.3                              --     0.4   0.1          

Spending:            0.3                              --     0.1   0.6

Curr Dollar:         0.2                              --     0.1   0.1

Total:               0.0                              --     0.0   0.2

Core:                0.1                              --     0.1   0.2

Avg. Hourly          0.3                              --     0.0   0.4 

     Comments: The September Personal Consumption Expenditure categories are 

expected to show little change, with personal spending predicting a 

notable increase to 0.3% from 0.1%.  

Q3 ECI (percent change)

Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Q3      Q2     Q1      

Change:               0.7                              --    0.6    0.7

     Comments:  The quarterly Employment Cost index report is expected to rise

slightly to 0.7% after 0.6% in the second quarter. Quarter one reported a 0.7%

gain. 

October Chicago PMI (index)

Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Sep19  Aug19 Jul19      

Index:                48.5                              --    47.1  50.4

     Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI for October is expected to tick upwards to 

48.5 from 47.1 in August.

October Nonfarm Payrolls (thousands & percent change)

Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST                         

                                                             Actual:

                    Median                            Oct19  Sep19 Aug19      

Nonfarm:               90                                --    136   130

Private:               85                                --    114    96

Unemp:                3.5                                --    3.6   3.7

     Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are expected to drop to 90,000 in October  from

a stronger 136,000 reported in September. Private Payrolls are expected to

follow suit with Nonfarm Payrolls and drop to 85,000 after 114,000 reported in

September.  The unemployment rate is seen ticking down just slightly to 3.5%

from 3.6% in September. The August reading was 3.7%. 

--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com

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