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Market News Topics
October 29, 2019 17:50 GMT
US Data: Highlights of Market Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by Bloomberg forecasts. The
comment section presents the key elements behind the median forecasts.
September ADP Private Payrolls (thousands)
Wednesday, October 30 at 8:15 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 July19
Index: 110 -- 135 156
Comments: September ADP Private payrolls are expected to fall to 110,000
from 135,000 in August.
Q3 Preliminary GDP (percent change)
Wednesday, October 30 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19p Sepf Sepp
Index: 1.6 -- 2.0 2.1
Price index: 1.9 -- 2.4 2.2
Comments: The preliminary third quarter GDP is expected to soften to 1.6
from 2.0. The Price index is slated to follow suit, dropping to 1.9 from
2.4. These slowdowns come amid low business spending, manufacturing
slowdowns, and declining consumer spending.
September PCE (percent change)
Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 July19
Income: 0.3 -- 0.4 0.1
Spending: 0.3 -- 0.1 0.6
Curr Dollar: 0.2 -- 0.1 0.1
Total: 0.0 -- 0.0 0.2
Core: 0.1 -- 0.1 0.2
Comments: The September Personal Consumption Expenditure categories are
expected to show little change, with personal spending predicting a
notable increase to 0.3% from 0.1%.
Q3 ECI (percent change)
Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Q3 Q2 Q1
Index: 0.7 -- 0.6 0.7
Comments: The quarterly report of the Employment Cost index is expected
to rise slightly to 0.7% after 0.6% in the second quarter. Quarter one
reported a 0.7%, making this change relatively normal.
October Chicago PMI (index)
Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Index: 48.0 -- 47.1 50.4
Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI for October is expected to tick upwards to
48.0 from 47.1 in August.
Jobless Claims (thousands)
Thursday, October 31 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct26 Oct19 Oct12
Index: 215 -- 212 210
Comments: Jobless claims are expected to rise to the standard average of
215,000 in the week ending October 26th, compared to lower rates seen in the
prior two weeks.
October Nonfarm Payrolls (thousands)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Index: 85 -- 136 130
Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are expected to drop to 85,000 in October
from a stronger 136,000 reported in September.
October Private Payrolls (thousands)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Index: 80 -- 114 96
Comments: Private Payrolls are expected to follow suit with Nonfarm
Payrolls and drop to 80,000 after 114,000 reported in September.
October Unemployment Rate (percent change)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Index: 3.6 -- 3.5 3.7
Comments: The unemployment rate is ticking up just slightly to 3.6
from 3.5 in September. The August reading was 3.7, making this a fairly
stable figure.
October Work Week Hours & Earnings (percent change & hours)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Hours: 34.4 -- 34.4 34.4
Earnings: 0.3 -- 0.4 0.4
Comments: October work week hours are expected to remain around the
constant average of 34.4, while earnings are anticipated to soften to 0.3% after
two months of 0.4% upticks.
October ISM Manufacturing Index (index)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Index: 49.0 -- 47.8 46.0
Comments: The ISM Manufacturing Index is projected to rise to 49 after
September's reading of 47.8. This would mark the fourth month of consecutive
increases.
September Construction Spending (percent change)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Change: 0.2 -- 0.1 0.1
Comments: Construction Spending is expected to increase to 0.2% after
August's reading of 0.1%.
October Markit Manufacturing Index(index)
Friday, November 1 at 8:30 a.m. EST
Actual:
Median Oct19 Sep19 Aug19
Index: 51.5 -- 51.5 50.3
Comments: The Markit Manufacturing Index is expected to remain unchanged at
51.5.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDS$,M$U$$$]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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