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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Nonfarm Payrolls for July (change in thousands)
Friday, August 4 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jul17 Jun17 May17
Payrolls +181k +169k to +220k -- +222k +152k
Private Job +185k +163k to +205k -- +187k +159k
Jobless Rate 4.3% 4.3% to 4.4% -- 4.4% 4.3%
Hrly Earnings +0.3% +0.1% to +0.3% -- +0.2% +0.1%
Avg Wkly Hrs 34.5 34.4 to 34.5 -- 34.5 34.4
Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 181,000 in July
after a stronger-than-expected 222,000 gain in June. The unemployment
rate is expected to fall back to 4.3% after rebounding to 4.4% in June.
Hourly earnings are forecast to rise 0.3% after a 0.2% gain in the
previous month. Due to a large 0.4% rise in hourly earnings in July
2016, the year/year gain for July 2017 is likely to be trimmed. The
average workweek is expected to hold steady at 34.5.
Trade in Goods and Services for June (deficit, billion $)
Friday, August 4 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jun17 May17 Apr17
Trade Gap -$44.1b -$44.9b to -$43.9b -- -$46.5b -$47.6b
Comments: The international trade gap is expected to narrow to
$44.1 billion in June. The advance estimate of the Census goods trade
gap narrowed to $63.9 billion in June, with exports up 1.4% and imports
down 0.4%.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.