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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Weekly Jobless Claims for January 5 week
Thursday, January 10 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan05 Dec29 Dec22
Weekly Claims 220k 215k to 215k -- 231k 221k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to fall
to 220,000 in the January 5 week after an increase of 10,000 to 231,000
level in the previous week. The prevalence of holidays in December make
seasonal adjustment difficult at the end of the year. The four-week
moving average would rise in the coming week as the 206,000 level in the
December 8 week rolls out of the calculation, assuming the MNI forecast
is correct and there are no revisions.
Consumer Price Index for December (percent change)
Friday, January 11 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec18 Nov18 Oct18
CPI -0.2% -0.2% to -0.1% -- Flat +0.3%
CPI Core +0.2% +0.1% to +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.2%
Comments: The CPI is expected to fall 0.2% in December after a flat
reading in November. A further decline in gasoline prices, as evidenced
by the monthly AAA data, will be the key factor. The core CPI is
forecast to rise 0.2% following a 0.2% gain in the previous month.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
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