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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Nonfarm Payrolls for February (change in thousands)
Friday, March 8 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Feb19 Jan19 Dec18
Payrolls +183k +141k to +220k -- +304k +222k
Private Jobs +170k +134k to +222k -- +296k +206k
Jobless Rate 3.9% 3.7% to 4.0% -- 4.0% 3.9%
Hrly Earnings +0.3% +0.2% to +0.4% -- +0.1% +0.4%
Avg Wkly Hrs 34.5 34.5 to 34.5 -- 34.5 34.5
Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 183,000 in
February after a much stronger-than-expected 304,000 rise in January.
The unemployment rate is expected to fall slightly to 3.9% after rising
to 4.0% in the previous month. Hourly earnings are forecast to rise
0.3%, while the average workweek is expected to stay at 34.5 hours for
another month.
Housing Starts for January (annual rate, million)
Friday, March 8 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Jan19 Dec18 Nov18
Starts 1.178m 1.100m to 1.300m -- 1.078m 1.214m
Comments: The pace of housing starts is expected to partially
rebound to a 1.178 million pace in January after slowing dramatically in
December. The Federal Government shutdown and the inability to process
government loans are both negatives risks for the month. Unadjusted
starts were down nearly 12% from a year earlier in December, a further
sign that home building has stagnated.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
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