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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Sep 24/17:06 EST Sep 24
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of market forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators. The comment section presents the key elements
behind the median forecasts.
New Home Sales (thousands)
Wednesday, September 25 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Index 656k -- 635k 646k
Comments: New home sales look to increase to 656,000 in August
from 635,000 in July. This could speak to increased inventory to
satiate growing demand for housing, as well as the historically low
mortgage rates in the U.S.
Jobless Claims (thousands)
Thursday, September 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep21 Sep14 Sep7
Index 211k -- 208k 204k
Comments: Jobless claims are expected to increase to 211,000 in
the third week of September, continuing the slight acceleration seen in the past
two weeks. These numbers are not rising substantially, however, and still remain
low compared to the claims recorded for August 2019.
Second Quarter GDP - final estimate
Thursday, September 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Q219f Q219p Q119f
GDP +2.0% -- +2.0% +3.1%
Price Index +2.4% -- +2.4% +1.1%
Comments: Second quarter GDP is anticipated to remain unrevised at
2.0% with the price index at 2.4%.
Advance Goods Trade Gap (billions)
Thursday, September 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Gap -$73.4b -- -$72.3b -$75.1b
Comments: The August advance trade deficit for goods is projected
to widen to -$73.4 billion in August from a July reading of -$72.3
billion.
Wholesale Inventories (index)
Thursday, August 26 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Index 0.2% -- 0.2% Flat
Comments: Wholesale inventories for August are expected to rise by
another 0.2%.
Durable Goods New Orders
Friday, September 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Index -1.2% -- +2.0% +1.8%
ex-trans: +0.3% -- -0.4% +0.8%
Comments: Durable goods new orders are expected to decrease by 1.2%
after strong increases seen in both July and June. Excluding transport,
however, the durable orders are slated to accelerate by 0.3%.
Personal Income PCE Index
Friday, September 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Pers Income +0.4% -- +0.1% +0.1%
Curr Dollar: +0.3% -- +0.6% +0.3%
Total PCE: +0.1% -- +0.2% +0.1%
Core PCE: +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.2%
Comments: Personal Income is anticipated to accelerate to a 0.4% rise in
August.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.