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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Oct 2/17:06 EST Oct 2
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Jobless Claims (thousands)
Thursday, October 3 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep21 Sep14 Sep7
Claims 215 -- 213 206
Comments: Weekly jobless claims are expected to rise slightly to
215,000 from last week's 213,000. This is within the normal range for
jobless claims.
Factory Orders (percent)
Thursday, October 3 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Order % -0.2 -- 1.4 0.6
Comments: Factory orders are expected to fall by 0.2% in August, a
sharp drop from the 1.4% recorded in July.
Markit Services Index
Thursday, October 3 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep19f Sep19p Aug19f
Index 50.9 -- 50.9 50.7
Comments: The Markit Services Index is expected to remain unchanged
in the final estimate from September's earlier estimate of 50.9.
ISM Non Manufacturing Index
Thursday, October 3 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Index 55.1 -- 56.4 53.7
Comments: The ISM Non Manufacturing Index is slated to move to 55.1
from 56.4 seen in August.
Trade Balance (billions)
Friday, October 4 at a.m. ET Actual:
Median Aug19 Jul19 Jun19
Billions -54.5 -- -54.0 -55.2
Comments: The trade balance is projected to increase marginally to
-54.6 in August from -54.0 July. This reflects continued trade tensions
and strained negotiations.
Nonfarm Payrolls (thousands)
Friday, October 4 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Payrolls 148 -- 130 164
Private 130 -- 96 148
Comments: September nonfarm payrolls are projected to rise to
147,000 from August's 130,000 number. Private payrolls are also
projected to rise to 130,000 from 96,000. This further indicates a
strong labor market and low unemployment.
Unemployment Rate (percentage)
Friday, October 4 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Payrolls 3.7% -- 3.7% 3.7%
Comments: September unemployment rate is looking to remain constant
at 3.7% as seen in August and July.
Hourly Earnings (percent/hours)
Friday, October 4 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Sep19 Aug19 Jul19
Avg hourly earn 0.3% -- 0.4% 0.3%
Avg workweek 34.4hr -- 34.4hr 34.3hr
Comments: Average hourly earnings for September are projected to
rise 0.3%, just alightly slower than the 0.4% recorded in August. The
average workweek length is looking to stay at the usual average of 34.4.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: alexandra.kelley@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.