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Stronger In a Range

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Weaker In A Range

US TSYS SUMMARY

Ending The Week On A Soft Note

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Bearish Risk Growing

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Stronger, But Still Vulnerable

US

SP500 PE Ratio vs. CPI Inflation

US Data: Industrial Output Indexes>

Release for:                    September 2018
Source: U.S. Federal Reserve
Index base: 2012=100, seasonally adjusted
Item                                            Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18
Total Index                                      107.7  106.8  107.5  107.8  108.2  108.5
MARKET GROUPS
Final Products and Nonindustrial Supply          104.6  102.8  103.6  103.6  104.0  104.2
  Consumer goods                                 107.4  104.6  105.3  105.5  105.9  106.1
   Durable                                       121.0  116.0  119.8  119.2  121.6  122.7
    Automotive products                          135.5  125.2  133.0  130.1  135.7  137.2
    Home electronics                             112.0  110.5  111.3  113.8  112.6  113.3
    Appliances, carpet, furniture                107.8  106.8  107.1  109.2  107.6  107.9
    Miscellaneous goods                          108.2  108.4  108.5  109.6  109.5  110.4
   Nondurable                                    103.9  101.7  101.6  102.0  101.9  101.9
    Nonenergy                                    100.7   99.8   99.7  100.8  100.1   99.8
     Foods and tobacco                           109.4  108.2  108.3  109.7  108.5  108.4
     Clothing                                     74.5   73.6   71.0   73.7   71.9   70.6
     Chemical products                            91.5   91.4   91.6   92.7   92.7   92.1
     Paper products                               84.7   82.5   79.8   79.0   78.6   79.3
    Energy products                              114.4  107.6  107.7  105.7  107.5  108.5
   Business equipment                             99.6   97.5   99.6   99.9  100.9  101.7
    Transit                                      111.6  105.2  112.7  112.2  113.4  115.9
    Information processing                       106.9  106.2  106.9  108.4  107.7  107.8
    Industrial and other                          91.9   91.0   91.5   91.6   93.1   93.5
   Defense and space equipt.                      90.0   89.5   90.5   91.0   91.4   92.2
   Construction supplies                         114.3  114.8  114.2  114.0  114.4  113.7
   Business supplies                             104.3  103.6  103.9  103.5  103.2  103.5
 Materials                                       110.9  111.1  111.7  112.5  112.8  113.1
  Non-Energy                                     105.2  104.7  105.2  105.4  105.7  105.8
  Durable                                        106.7  105.7  106.3  106.3  106.8  107.4
   Consumer parts                                113.4  109.0  111.3  109.9  112.4  113.2
   Equipment parts                               105.5  105.2  105.8  106.2  107.2  108.1
   Other                                         105.2  104.9  105.0  105.2  104.7  105.1
  Nondurable                                     102.9  103.0  103.4  103.9  103.9  103.4
   Textile                                        94.0   93.5   94.5   93.7   95.3   93.3
   Paper                                          93.0   93.1   92.4   94.2   92.4   93.0
   Chemical                                      103.0  103.8  104.9  104.6  105.3  104.6
  Energy                                         117.7  119.3  119.7  121.4  122.0  122.4
INDUSTRY GROUPS
Manufacturing                                    104.3  103.3  104.0  104.3  104.6  104.8
 Manufacturing (NAICS)                           105.2  104.2  105.0  105.4  105.7  106.0
  Durable                                        106.3  104.6  106.1  106.0  107.1  107.8
  Wood products                                  125.9  125.5  125.7  124.9  125.2  127.3
   Nonmetallic minerals                          121.4  121.2  119.8  120.3  119.9  118.1
   Primary metals                                 96.8   96.4   95.9   95.3   97.3   98.3
   Fabricated metals                             102.0  101.7  103.0  102.7  103.3  103.3
   Machinery                                      91.0   90.1   90.7   91.1   92.8   93.6
   Computer and electronics                      118.8  118.5  119.6  120.9  120.6  121.2
   Electrical equipment
     and appliances                              103.7  103.6  104.8  106.1  106.1  105.6
    Motor vehicles and parts                     130.0  118.9  127.4  124.3  129.6  131.8
   Aircraft and other miscellaneous
   transportation equipment                       97.5   97.1   98.0   98.4   98.5   99.5
   Furniture and related products                103.5  104.2  103.9  104.5  103.8  104.4
   Miscellaneous                                  95.7   96.9   95.9   95.9   96.3   96.0
 Nondurable                                      103.9  103.6  103.8  104.7  104.2  104.0
  Food and tobacco products                      111.2  110.1  110.2  111.6  110.5  110.3
  Textile mill products                           99.2   98.2   99.1   98.9   99.5   97.8
  Apparel products                                75.7   74.7   72.1   74.7   73.0   71.8
  Paper and products                              96.9   96.1   95.4   96.9   95.8   96.0
  Printing and publishing                         97.5   97.9   98.0   98.2   96.8   97.8
  Petroleum products                             106.7  107.6  108.4  107.4  107.7  108.7
  Chemical                                        98.5   98.9   99.3   99.9   99.9   99.4
  Rubber and plastics products                   109.2  107.6  107.7  109.2  108.3  108.3
 Other manufacturing (non-NAICS)                  79.5   77.6   74.9   73.7   72.7   72.9
 Mining                                          119.5  120.7  122.8  123.8  124.3  124.8
 Utilities                                       108.5  105.7  104.1  104.1  105.2  105.2
 Electric                                        103.6  106.3  103.8  103.6  104.5  104.3
 Gas                                             143.2  102.5  106.5  108.1  110.5  111.8
  ** MNI Washington Bureau (202) 371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDT$,MAUI5$]